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Random variables

   The general concept of probability space uses ``abstract" sets to represent outcomes of an experiment. But many examples considered so far, represented the outcomes in numerical terms.

Random variables are introduced for convenient description of experiments with numerical outcomes. (The other option is to select tex2html_wrap_inline1520 , or tex2html_wrap_inline1522 .) If we want to run computer simulations, we need to represent even non-numerical experiments (like tossing coins) in numerical terms anyhow. Thus the language of random variables becomes the natural extension of elementary probability theory, expressing many of the same concepts in a little different language.

A random variable is the numerical quantity assigned to every outcome of the experiment. In mathematical terms, random variable is a function tex2html_wrap_inline1524 with the property that sets tex2html_wrap_inline1526 are events in tex2html_wrap_inline1528 for all tex2html_wrap_inline1530 . Recall that the last conditions means that we may talk about probabilities of events tex2html_wrap_inline1532 .

Probabilities for a one-dimensional r. v. are determined by the cumulative distribution function 

  equation795

The corresponding tail function tex2html_wrap_inline1534 is sometimes called the reliabilitygif function .

Cumulative distribution function can be used to express probabilities of intervals tex2html_wrap_inline1538 . Since probability is continuous, (gif) we can also compute tex2html_wrap_inline1540 . The right hand side limit tex2html_wrap_inline1542 exists, as F is a non-decreasing function.

Example671

In probability theory we are concerned with probabilities. Random variables that have the same probabilities are therefore considered equivalent. We write tex2html_wrap_inline1550 to denote the equality of distributions , ie. tex2html_wrap_inline1552 for all Borel sets tex2html_wrap_inline1554 (say, all intervals U).

Vector valued r. v. are measurable the functions tex2html_wrap_inline1558 . In the vector case we also refer to tex2html_wrap_inline1560 as the d-variate, or multivariate, random variable. 

We will use the ordinary notation for sums and inequalities between random variables. There is however a word of caution. In probability theory, equalities and inequalities between random variables are interpreted almost surely. For instance tex2html_wrap_inline1564 means tex2html_wrap_inline1566 ; the latter is a shortcut that we use for the expression tex2html_wrap_inline1568 .

Problem799


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Next: Binomial trials Up: Independent events Previous: Independent events

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